Election Temperature

538 is out with their 2020 election forecast.

As of today, it gives Trump a 27% chance to win the election.

Not insignificant, but not good.

I have not insulted your intelligence at all. Your posting has shown what your intelligence is.

Nice try though.

You claimed, and how you did this with a straight face boggles my mind, that Trump will have the greatest landslide ever. For that to occur, he would need to win all 50 states as Reagan won 49. Considering that all but two states have a winner take all, he would not have to get 538 electoral votes. But considering that Reagan had 525 votes, technically, you are correct, that Reagan would not have to win Maine and Nebraska. You know, the two states that have split electoral voting. However, considering that Nebraska was not a split electoral in 1984, the counter-argument, if Trump didn't win Nebraska, would be that he didn't achieve the landslide. In essence, Trump needs to sweep the country. That, again, has as much of a chance of happening as my penis is 90 miles long.

But again, I suppose you knew that Reagan had a nearly 60% job approval rating before the election. Trump is sitting at ~41%.

So somehow, someway, in the next ~80 days, his approval rating, which has NEVER hit 49% or higher, will jump up beyond that, convince the country that he is worthy of another 4 years and then the whole country is going to vote for him. Yeah, and my dick is 90 miles long.

You can believe whatever you want to believe. At least most people have been a little pragmatic about the election instead of being completely, blindly allegiant to the big cheeto.

If JOE THE SNIFFER dies before the convention or election you know Hillary has been busy.
How stupid are the Dems? They should not have picked a V P from those that ran for their nomination. That was like a circle firing squad. An outsider would not have criticized JOE THE SNIFFER.
Trump is on a roll with the Middle East deal.

Erocticamazon - You tried to insult my intelligence. You got super arrogant because you thought you knew what you were talking about. I proved you wrong in front of everyone in this forum. FDR won in the biggest electoral landslide and that's a fact! It wasn't Regan.

I hope this teaches you to be humble in the future ;)

Trump2020 is a done deal!

Erotica, "BIDEN AND HIS HO" are together to stop Trump from winning 50 States. The HO from California will insure it.

Good luck with your predictions. If it's based upon what you have written so far, you will look very foolish.

For Trump to do better, he has to get 50 states. That is NOT going to happen. That is the point.

Just because you wish it, doesn't mean it is going to happen.

You go ahead and spin things anyway that helps you sleep at night.

You're*

""Too bad I also said LA!!!"
Uh, no.

"San Bernardino County. I feel bad that you couldn't figure it out based on my location. Also,it's the biggest county in California.""

Omg!!! go back to the original post you were quoting before that one. Lol your more forgetful than Biden.

"FDR received 98.5% of the available vote, while Reagan received 97.6%."
LOL.

We don't elect presidents by the available (popular) vote.

You are batting 0 fer..."

Good try, you are actually batting 0. Clearly, I was talking about the electoral number. FDR won 98.5% of all of the electoral college votes. That is the biggest electoral landslide by percentage.

"Too bad I also said LA!!!"

Uh, no.

"San Bernardino County. I feel bad that you couldn't figure it out based on my location. Also,it's the biggest county in California."

"FDR received 98.5% of the available vote, while Reagan received 97.6%."

LOL.

We don't elect presidents by the available (popular) vote.

You are batting 0 fer...

""Also,it's the biggest county in California."
Largest by area, fifth by population.

Too bad land doesn't vote..."
Too bad I also said LA!!! Go back and read it. Now add Los Angeles's population to your number. I also believe that Trump will win San Diego, Riverside and Orange county too.

"Reagan in 1984 won 49 states.
Keep trying though . . .
Get a shovel though, because the hole is getting deeper and deeper."

Good job, you proved that you don't understand numbers or geography. Believe it or not, the United States had less states when FDR ran. FDR received 98.5% of the available vote, while Reagan received 97.6%. Good for you though ..You're trying!
I thought that you would figure out what SB meant when I also said LA county (yes they touch). I believe that ditch belongs to you and your creepy comment from earlier.

"Also,it's the biggest county in California."

Largest by area, fifth by population.

Too bad land doesn't vote...

You are not charged by the character. So typing San Bernadino would be ok to do. Considering you are talking to people from various places in SoCal, who knows what you mean.

Thanks for proving that you do not know history at all and are speaking from ignorance.

Reagan in 1984 won 49 states.

Keep trying though . . .

Get a shovel though, because the hole is getting deeper and deeper.

Well , right now to rent a one way U Haul from California to Texas is upwards of 4K . To rent a UHaul from Texas to Cali. Is only. 800. Something is going on there . We seen this years ago in Michigan.

SB? Do you mean Santa Barbara county?
ROFL."

San Bernardino County. I feel bad that you couldn't figure it out based on my location. Also,it's the biggest county in California. The problem is that people in northern California forget about us. They assume that we will blindly vote Democrat because we are brown. Not the case and can't wait for you to be shocked.

"As you have NO concept of history, for Trump to win by the biggest landslide in history he would need to win all 50 states. I have a better chance of my dick reaching you from where I am sitting to where your wife is."

I'm the wife and I meant to say one of the biggest landslides. Everyone knows what FDR and Johnson did. To be clear, Trump has a far better chance of winning California, than your penis touching me lol I promise ;) What a gross comment and to assume that I am the husband ???????Women can talk politics.
Cheers and no hard feelings.

SB? Do you mean Santa Barbara county?

ROFL.

That is hilarious. Trump may do OK in Santa Maria, but that is migrant farmer land. He may do well in Solvang, but those 4500 ain't gonna carry the county of 500k.

As you have NO concept of history, for Trump to win by the biggest landslide in history he would need to win all 50 states. I have a better chance of my dick reaching you from where I am sitting to where your wife is.

The odds of two black swan events in a row are remote...

Hard to say. I think he wins in the biggest electoral landslide of all time. No way he loses Texas, Florida, Arizona.

Joe Biden's racist past and major crime bill will be his undoing.
Him and Kamala put more minorities in jail than you could imagine.

I potentially see him winning all the states he won last time with the addition of Nv, Co, NM, VA, NH, Min, and Ca (I know this one is controversial but trust me ;))

Lol I'm ok with you guys making fun of me if I turn out being wrong. California is definitely going to be the shocker! Here in SB and LA county people love Trump and afraid to speak out.

Y'all keep repeating the same mis-quote:

McConnell: We need to be honest with the public. This election is about them, not us. And we need to treat this election as the first step in retaking the government. We need to say to everyone on Election Day, “Those of you who helped make this a good day, you need to go out and help us finish the job.”

National Journal: What’s the job?

McConnell: The single most important thing we want to achieve is for President Obama to be a one-term president.

National Journal: Does that mean endless, or at least frequent, confrontation with the president?

McConnell: If President Obama does a Clintonian backflip, if he’s willing to meet us halfway on some of the biggest issues, it’s not inappropriate for us to do business with him.

I guess it all depends on how you define advantaged.

Not arguing that money is an important tool but not everyone has your advantaged life.

Millions out of work. People lined up for food handouts. Are they better off?

I doubt that Trump will be asking that question between now and November.

I’ve yet to find many people that work for free. Last time I bought groceries, they wanted money. Last time I filled my car, they wanted money. Last time I got my monthly utility bills, they wanted money. Funny....but good looks don’t buy you much these days.

I wasn't arguing with you... lol

Just offering my opinion on why you feel that way. Money is your main thing.